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News

Tennessee Poll results

2006-09-13

Source: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

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If the election were held today, Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen would coast to re-election - with 90 percent of Democrats backing him and a third of Republicans crossing over to vote for him, a new poll suggests.

Meanwhile, the SurveyUSA poll shows Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Harold Ford Jr. leading Republican nominee Bob Corker, 48 percent of likely voters to Corker's 45 percent.

SurveyUSA polled 1,200 Tennessee adults from Sept. 9-11, then culled the responses to 638 judged to be "likely voters." The poll was conducted exclusively for WBIR-TV, Channel 10.

In the gubernatorial race, the poll showed 61 percent of Republicans backing GOP nominee Jim Bryson; 33 percent of Republicans would cross party lines to back Bredesen.

Bredesen was leading overall, 63 percent of likely voters to Bryson's 30 percent, according to SurveyUSA. Independents favored Bredesen by a 3-to-1 margin.

In the U.S. Senate race, Corker and Ford "are locked in a fierce fight," just 3 percentage points apart - within the poll's margin of sampling error, 4 percent, according to SurveyUSA.

Both candidates are strong within their parties. Ford gets 85 percent of Democratic backing while Corker gets 81 percent of GOP support. Independents prefer Ford, 53 percent to 40 percent.

The pollsters suggest that turnout of black voters is "critical to the outcome." Corker, who is white, leads by 5 points among white voters, while Ford, who is black, leads by 69 points among black voters, according to the poll.

"A higher black turnout helps Ford, possibly just enough to elect him," according to SurveyUSA.

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