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Poll shows Menendez leading Kean in New Jersey Senate race

2006-10-31

Source: Associated Press

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Democrat Robert Menendez holds a slight edge over Republican challenger Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey's Senate race in one poll and a larger lead in another survey, results released on Tuesday showed.

In the Quinnipiac University poll, Menendez holds a 49-44 percent advantage among 887 likely voters questioned from Oct. 23-29. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

In a CNN poll, conducted from Oct. 26-29 by Opinion Research Corp., Menendez had a 51-44 percent lead among 577 likely voters surveyed. The error margin was plus or minus 4 percentage points. Among 917 registered voters, Menendez was preferred 50-38 percent. This survey had a plus or minus error margin of 3 percentage points.

Menendez has held slight leads over Kean in recent weeks, and although poll results look good for Menendez, Quinnipiac University Polling Institute Director Maurice Carroll said the senator shouldn't assume the race was won.

"New Jersey is a state where the numbers swing like a yo-yo, and it always makes up its mind late," Carroll said.

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